J/A+A/699/A175 Asteroids predicted/corrected surface ages (Palamakumbure+, 2025)

Predicting the surface age of chondritic S-type asteroids using the space weathering features in reflectance spectra: Small data machine learning. Palamakumbure L., Syrjaenen S.A.I., Korda D., Kohout T., Klami A. <Astron. Astrophys. 699, A175 (2025)> =2025A&A...699A.175P 2025A&A...699A.175P (SIMBAD/NED BibCode)
ADC_Keywords: Solar system ; Minor planets ; Models Keywords: methods: data analysis - methods: numerical - techniques: spectroscopic - meteorites, meteors, meteoroids - minor planets, asteroids: general Abstract: The surfaces of airless planetary bodies, such as S-type asteroids, undergo space weathering (SW) due to exposure to the interplanetary environment, resulting in alterations to their reflectance spectral features (e.g., spectral slope, albedo, and absorption band characteristics). This study aims to estimate the surface age of S-, Sq-, and Q-type asteroids as a function of SW agents and dose by employing machine learning models. Two models were developed: an ensemble model (combining a CNN, gradient-boosting regressor, K-nearest neighbor, extratree regressor, and random forest regressor) and a Gaussian process (GP) model. Both models were trained on published reflectance spectra of olivine, pyroxene, their mixtures, and chondritic meteorites, using SW conditions as independent variables and surface age at 1 AU as the dependent variable. Given the limited dataset, k-fold cross-validation was employed for model training. The models were further validated by applying them to S-, Sq-, and Q-type asteroids, evaluating their ability to capture two key trends: the SW progression across chondritic S-type asteroids and the relationship between asteroid size and surface age. Both models successfully identify relatively fresh surfaces in Q-type asteroids and mature surfaces in S-type asteroids, as well as younger surface ages for asteroids with diameters less than 5 km. However, the GP model exhibits higher variability in predictions for the asteroid dataset. While both models effectively capture relative surface age trends, limitations in data availability between 103 and 107 years hinder precise predictions of asteroid surface ages. These models have significant potential for future applications, such as determining the surface age for individual asteroids and identifying asteroid families, offering valuable tools for advancing our understanding of asteroid evolution and SW processes. Description: This table presents the predicted and corrected surface ages (in years) of the asteroids using both the Ensemble and Gaussian Process (Gaussian (GP)) models. The columns include the asteroid number, taxonomy based on the Bus-DeMeo classification system, solar wind irradiation age, and micrometeorite irradiation age, both at 1 AU and at the semi-major axis of each asteroid. near Earth Asteroids (NEAs) are marked with '*'. File Summary: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FileName Lrecl Records Explanations -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ReadMe 80 . This file tableb1.dat 96 218 Predicted and the corrected surface age for these asteroids -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See also: B/astorb : Orbits of Minor Planets (Bowell+, 2014-) Byte-by-byte Description of file: tableb1.dat -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bytes Format Units Label Explanations -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1- 6 I6 --- No Asteroid number 7 A1 --- n_No [*] * Near Earth Asteroids 9- 10 A2 --- Type [Q S Sq] Asteroid type 13- 16 F4.2 10+3yr T-1AU1 H+ irradiation age, surface age at 1AU, Ensemble model 18- 21 F4.2 10+3yr e_T-1AU1 H+ irradiation age, surface age at 1AU error, Ensemble model 24- 28 F5.2 10+3yr T-cor1 H+ irradiation age, corrected surface age with the distance, Ensemble model 30- 33 F4.2 10+3yr e_T-cor1 H+ irradiation age, corrected surface age with the distance error, Ensemble model 35- 38 F4.2 10+3yr T-1AU2 H+ irradiation age, surface age at 1AU, Gaussian (GP) model 40- 44 F5.2 10+3yr e_T-1AU2 H+ irradiation age, surface age at 1AU error, Gaussian (GP) model 46- 50 F5.2 10+3yr T-cor2 H+ irradiation age, corrected surface age with the distance, Gaussian (GP) model 52- 56 F5.2 10+3yr e_T-cor2 H+ irradiation age, corrected surface age with the distance error, Gaussian (GP) model 58- 61 F4.2 10+9yr T-1AU3 Laser irradiation age, surface age at 1AU, Ensemble model 63- 66 F4.2 10+9yr e_T-1AU3 Laser irradiation age, surface age at 1AU error, Ensemble model 68- 71 F4.2 10+9yr T-cor3 Laser irradiation age, corrected surface age with the distance, Ensemble model 73- 76 F4.2 10+9yr e_T-cor3 Laser irradiation age, corrected surface age with the distance error, Ensemble model 78- 81 F4.2 10+9yr T-1AU4 Laser irradiation age, surface age at 1AU, Gaussian (GP) model 83- 86 F4.2 10+9yr e_T-1AU4 Laser irradiation age, surface age at 1AU error, Gaussian (GP) model 88- 91 F4.2 10+9yr T-cor4 Laser irradiation age, corrected surface age with the distance, Gaussian (GP) model 93- 96 F4.2 10+9yr e_T-cor4 Laser irradiation age, corrected surface age with the distance error, Gaussian (GP) model -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Acknowledgements: Lakshika Palamakumbure, lakshika.palamakumbure(at)helsinki.fi
(End) Patricia Vannier [CDS] 30-May-2025
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